By : JUN B. VALLACERA, click here for original article.
Investment activities
in the Philippines as percent of local output or gross domestic product
(GDP) have fallen sharply lower to only around 20 percent of GDP the
past decade from some 30 percent of GDP in the 1970s, the Manila unit of
the World Bank reported on Friday.
These developments, in
turn, helped perpetuate the high 26.5-percent incidence of poverty in
the country and partly explains why about a third of middle-income
Filipinos would rather work abroad or migrate to other countries
altogether, the World Bank said in its 2013 Philippine Development
Report released only on Friday.
According to the World Bank, 60 years of underinvestments contributed to the slow growth of agriculture, whose potential contribution to overall economic expansion cannot be underestimated.
Agriculture in the
Philippines is backward-looking and unproductive, while its
manufacturing sector is stagnant and offers few job opportunities for
Filipinos, the World Bank said.
“Although the
country’s average growth record of 4.1 percent in the last three decades
is comparable to global performance, it is considerably lower than the
6.5-percent growth of its more dynamic East Asian peers over the same
period. In per-capita terms, Philippine growth is much lower at around
1.4 percent, given its historically higher population growth rate of 2.7
percent. While there have been a few growth spurts, the country has
rarely been able to sustain growth at above 5 percent for an extended
period, again in contrast to its neighbors,” the World Bank said.
Karl Kendrick Chua,
senior country economist at the World Bank in Manila, said the
Philippines has a long way to catch up with Malaysia, for instance,
whose above 7-percent growth had been going on for maybe 20 or 30 years.
He said that while
Manila typically attracts $2 billion worth of foreign direct investments
(FDI) in a year, its neighbors have no trouble attracting 10 times more
FDI.
It was noted the
Philippines posted high growth rates in the 1970 as a result of
large-scale growth in infrastructure, although this was not sustainable
as such growth was debt-driven and best illustrated by the debt crisis
in the 1980s.
Growth accelerated in
the 1990s, when the government promoted exports, FDI and domestic
competition, but was stymied by the 1997 region-wide financial crisis
and brought the country to its third recession in 15 years.
“Finally, between 2003
and 2012, the country generated higher per-capita growth of above 3
percent; however, this has yet to translate into significant job
creation and poverty reduction. Growth has largely benefited the top 20
percent of Filipinos,” the World Bank said.
The
World Bank blames persistent policy distortions and lack of structural
transformation as explanation for the slow growth of agriculture and
manufacturing the past 60 years.
“In agriculture, these
include protectionist policies, such as the rice self-sufficiency
policy, large subsidies for inputs and distortions in institutions that
prevent broad and secure access to land by small shareholders,” it said.
It also said protectionist policies in place as far back as the 1930s, such as high tariff walls, preferential loans and tax incentives to cronies in addition to uncompetitive practices in the various manufacturing industries contributed to the decline of the sector.
“With the exception of
food manufacturing and electronics, the rest of the manufacturing
subsectors either stagnated or declined. The bulk of manufacturing value
added has come from capital-intensive industries such as electronics,
while labor-intensive manufacturing such as garments, footwear and
furniture continued to decline,” the World Bank said.
In the same Philippine
Development Report, the World Bank highlighted the need for the
government to accelerate inclusive growth and the creation of jobs to
help reduce the poverty incidence and sustain growth for the long haul.
This developed even as an additional 1.15 million enter the labor force every year, or 14.6 million more in the next four years.
According to the World
Bank, only one of four Filipino jobseekers eventually gets a job and
only around half of some 500,000 graduates every year are absorbed; the
other half will find work overseas.
It said more recent
high-growth outturns help employ some of the jobless but even then, an
estimated 12.4 million will have been jobless by 2016.
“Addressing
this jobs challenge requires meeting a dual challenge: expanding the
formal-sector employment even faster while rapidly raising the incomes
of those informally employed,” the World Bank said.
Note: We made special mention of the Philippines being "Investment Grade" in this article.
Investment grade simply put is that the business climate in the Philippines is getting better for foreign companies to set up shop. Financial Times has a more concise definition, click here.
Major revamps in government laws supporting MSMEs, infrastructure spending and other essential housekeeping needs to be done.
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